Watch free highlights of each Premier League fixture straight after full-time on the Sky Sports web site & app; watch Man City vs Wolves, Brighton vs Aston Villa, Liverpool vs Tottenham & Crystal Palace vs Man Utd reside on Sky Sports; Play Super 6!
By Lewis Jones, Football Journalist
Our tipster Jones Knows gives his betting perception and evaluation throughout the Premier League card, the place he thinks Bournemouth will end Arsenal’s title challenge.
Arsenal vs Bournemouth, Saturday 12.30pm
Gary Neville thinks Arsenal will stay excellent throughout their final three video games.
He mentioned on the Gary Neville Podcast after watching Arsenal beat Tottenham 3-2: “I think they will achieve a 100 per cent record. The one doubt is the Old Trafford game.”
I could not disagree extra. If there’s an Arsenal wobble coming, it is extra seemingly to come right here than in opposition to Manchester United. To put it merely, Bournemouth are a greater aspect than United.
I’ve spent most of the season watching the Cherries let me down when taking part in a top-five aspect. In 9 fixtures, they’ve taken only one level, shedding eight video games to an combination rating of 28-6. Ouch.
But I nonetheless imagine this fashion of soccer underneath Andoni Iraola can beat the large boys. And I merely should again them right here at a big worth. They are 12/1 with Sky Bet for the away win which is ludicrous for a crew which have taken 42 factors from their final 25 video games. It’s the fifth-best return of any Premier League aspect.
Granted, my timeline goes to be full of after-timing Arsenal followers taking enormous pleasure in proving me flawed when their aspect win 5-0, however I am unable to let Bournemouth go unbacked at these odds.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Bournemouth +2 (6/5 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Brentford vs Fulham, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
This has develop into a free-scoring fixture up to now two seasons with 13 targets scored within the final three conferences between these two, who do have a bit of historical past from a Championship play-off remaining that Fulham gained in 2020. With each groups safely cuddled up in mid-table this might descend into one other goal-fest – though the market does foresee that with over 2.5 targets a probable winner however woefully brief at 4/7 with Sky Bet.
With an end-to-end nature anticipated, I’m joyful to head to the entire offsides market the place 4 or extra offsides seems to be to have an awesome probability at 10/11 with Sky Bet. Fulham have caught the opposition offside 90 instances this season – the fourth highest within the Premier League – and when assessing the match-ups of these two groups, earlier conferences have pointed to an avalanche of offsides. There’s been 19 whole match offsides within the final three video games that means a mean of 6.3 per 90 minutes. The assistant referee will hopefully be very busy.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Burnley vs Newcastle, Saturday 3pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Burnley’s job over the following two video games is to preserve Nottingham Forest inside two factors. If they do this then the final-day showdown between the pair at Turf Moor might be a relegation shootout. That could be nice enjoyable.
The market is skewed far too in favour of Newcastle right here in a recreation Burnley will probably be aggressive in. The Toon are Evens with Sky Bet for the away win. No thanks.
Vincent Kompany’s males have solely misplaced one of their final eight Premier League video games, taking 11 factors throughout that run. It’s stored them alive and kicking. Now they want to flip these attracts into wins.
Those that like to play the playing cards market ought to be inspired to take benefit of some fancy costs within the participant card choices, particularly with Anthony Taylor in cost. He’s been shelling out playing cards like confetti this season – a whopping 120 in 24 matches, which makes him the strictest referee on the Premier League circuit.
Sean Longstaff (13/2 with Sky Bet) and Elliot Anderson (11/2 with Sky Bet) had been each booked within the current 1-0 defeat at Fulham and do look overpriced to go in once more.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Sheffield United vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday 3pm
Can we count on any kind of response from Sheffield United now their relegation has been confirmed? Perhaps a freedom to categorical themselves? Probably not.
On the final 12 events a crew that has performed a Premier League recreation with a relegation confirmed, they’ve failed to win, shedding 9 of these matches to an combination scoreline of 35-11.
Games do not come extra winnable than this for Nottingham Forest, who’re 8/13 with Sky Bet to choose up most factors. Can they cope with the stress and expectation? I would not be trusting them at these odds though they’re of course the extra seemingly winners.
I’d quite take extra of a punt and again Morgan Gibbs-White to rating within the recreation at 11/4 with Sky Bet. A participant of his skill actually wants to be stepping up in video games the place the stress to ship is on. He can be their designated penalty taker and absolutely one spot-kick goes to drop their means ultimately.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Manchester City vs Wolves, Saturday 5.30pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Manchester City are in title-winning robotic mode. Having nearly every week to put together for this one is a large issue and they’re 1/11 with Sky Bet for the win for good purpose.
I do suppose Wolves are overpriced to rating although at 6/5 with Sky Bet, particularly now Hwang Hee-Chan and Matheus Cunha are match and can give them a really explosive outlet on the counter-attack.
Wolves have been considerably stronger with each within the crew. The win price leaps from 26 per cent to 50 per cent when each begin and the common targets per recreation elevated from 1.1 to 1.6.
City have conceded in 32 of 44 video games within the Premier League and Champions League this season – that is a 73 per cent strike price for the opposition scoring.
That determine in all probability ought to be greater too as the 2 clear sheets they stored within the wins over Nottingham Forest and Chelsea got here in opposition to the backdrop of some cumbersome anticipated targets in opposition to numbers. Chelsea failed to rating from 1.4 and Forest managed to create 1.93 with out discovering the online.
Wolves can punish related ranges of generosity.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Wolves to score (6/5 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Brighton vs Aston Villa, Sunday 2pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Aston Villa’s Ezri Konsa is probably the most fouled defender within the Premier League this season. His 59 fouls gained in his 32 video games performed within the Premier League this season places him prime of the tree for fouls gained by defenders and his per-90 haul of 1.88 has him ranked fifth for defenders for that specific metric.
He has a unprecedented skill to draw fouls off the opposition when in possession. Unai Emery encourages his gamers to be courageous and daring on the ball and Konsa has taken notice.
If something, his numbers are on the rise, too. He’s gained 24 fouls in his final 9 video games.
With Konsa seemingly to play by means of the center on Sunday, it appears smart to attempt to revenue from his direct opposition in phrases of their foul depend. In this case that participant is Danny Welbeck, who’s 15/8 with Sky Bet to make two or extra fouls.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
Chelsea vs West Ham, Sunday 2pm – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
West Ham is usually a crew with a throw-in-the-towel mentality, particularly when taking part in away from house. There was the 5-0 at Fulham and the current 5-2 capitulation at Crystal Palace.
This makes their opposition very interesting throughout the handicap markets.
The Hammers have stored only one clear sheet of their final 21 Premier League away video games? Can you guess the place? A 2-0 away at Arsenal. That’s bonkers.
Their total defensive metrics because the flip of the yr stay horrendous. They’ve conceded the third-most targets of any crew of their final 16 Premier League video games (35) and their anticipated targets in opposition to per-90 determine is 2.1, which is the second worst of any crew for that interval – behind solely Luton.
Chelsea have misplaced just one of their final 18 house video games in all competitions, scoring 52 targets. They have gotten a dependable crew taking part in with nice confidence in ahead areas. They may run riot right here. Chelsea to win by three or extra targets at 4/1 with Sky Bet is a runner.
SCORE PREDICTION: 4-1
Liverpool vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
This may head down the trail of being like an exhibition, friendly-like encounter. The chances are very excessive that Liverpool are going to end third and Tottenham are going to end fifth. The targets ought to move in a backdrop of what is likely to be a recreation that produces a low card depend contemplating the shortage of jeopardy on the road.
And the quantity of playing cards proven per recreation are on the decline. In the primary 18 matchdays of the season there have been 46.5 playing cards proven per matchday as referees had been eager on clamping down on time-wasting and dissent.
However, during the last 5 matchdays there have been simply 32.2 playing cards per matchday with only one crimson card being proven in these 50 matches. So that is a drop of about 1.4 playing cards per recreation.
There had been no playing cards proven in any respect in two Premier League video games final weekend, in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City and Newcastle vs Sheffield United that means the “no card” choice within the first participant carded market landed at large odds. It’s bought an opportunity of getting into once more right here at 28/1 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 4-2
Crystal Palace vs Manchester United, Monday 8pm, reside on Sky Sports
This is the worst Manchester United aspect in Premier League historical past, is not it?
Crystal Palace are favourites to win at Selhurst Park which tells you all you want to learn about the place the markets price this United aspect, whose 12 league defeats this season is probably the most United have ever misplaced in a single Premier League marketing campaign. I’m joyful to again that quantity to develop into 13.
Oliver Glasner has bought Palace working and urgent extra whereas additionally encouraging his attacking gamers to play way more centrally. Michael Olise – who often likes to get chalk on his boots – is taking part in extra inside the goalposts as seen by his poachers-like purpose within the hammering of West Ham.
There is a lot tempo, energy and intelligence in that space of the pitch from Palace and Harry Maguire and Casemiro might be seeing stars for almost all of this encounter attempting to cease the likes of Olise. The 100/30 with Sky Bet on the Palace star to rating in a house win seems to be a cracking guess to take into account.
SCORE PREDICTION: 3-1 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Crystal Palace to beat Man Utd (6/4 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Ad content | Stream Sky Sports on NOW
Stream Sky Sports reside with no contract on a Month or Day membership on NOW. Instant entry to reside motion from the Premier League, EFL, F1, England Cricket and a lot extra.
Find out extra right here…